May 22nd MLB Quick Picks w/ Analysis

POD: Play of the day.
Atlanta Braves ml +110

Explanations and thoughts:

  • Just going to state facts. Braves and McCarthy owns the Phillies 3-0 Wins with games going 15-2, 7-3, 10-1 in that span. He averaged 5.1 innings per game while giving up about 1.5 runs per game. Velasquez on the other hand have not fair so well against the Braves. Velasquez average 4 innings per game against the Braves while giving up about 5 runs per game against them. Pretty much McCarthy and the Braves OWNS Velasquez and the Phillies in this matchup. Just facts.
  • The Braves are also (13-4) after a loss this season.
  • No I’m not chasing after yesterday loss. Playing it solely based on evidence of findings which leads to an advantage for the Braves.

DOD: Dog of the day.
Arizona Diamondbacks ml +135

Explanations and thoughts:

  • They have clearly loss a ton of games over the last 13 games or so. Out of the 13 games, they only won like 1. Public will be riding the Brewers, no one will be putting any money on the Diamondbacks at this point. In conclusion, this is the exact spot to take the diamondbacks at dog value.
  • Pretty much there are spots where we can apply the “Due Theory” like the over for Boston over 205 last night. Nothing huge to bet on, but there is value for this spot.
  • Let’s say they don’t win. You can apply the “Chase Theory” and double up your bet on them the next game (Wednesday @ +112 ML).

FOD: Favorite of the day.
Washington Nationals -175

Explanations and thoughts:

  • After getting swept by the Dodgers, they are awake and well. Bats were steaming hot. You get a Padres team who overachieved (3-1) against the Pitts Pirates. I can see the Nationals sweeping if not taking at least 2 of the first 3 games.
  • Add it to a Parlay if you don’t like the high juiced line.

TOD: Total of the day.
SEA vs OAK over 8.5

Explanations and thoughts:

  • Both team been batting well especially the As. Nice breeze to help boost hitters in this game and improve home run chances.

SLEEPER of the night?!
San Francisco Giants ml +230 / +1.5 RL

Explanations and thoughts:

  • Gut feeling more than anything. San Francisco bats are steaming up the last two games. Maybe it will carry into tonight’s game and give an upset. +230 ML is a lot. Cole been pitching lights out, but it only takes a couple hits to change that.

 

Leave a comment