Sup everyone, just got done with a huge project for the month of July, so now I fully have the time to put into more of sports capping, maybe that’s why my August result has been better? Haha who knows. Sports capping is all about trends, patterns, situational and emotional stages, data statistics and MOST IMPORTANTLY… a little luck as well.
As far as MLB, this is actually my first full season, so I have to be a little happy with how things gone so far. I think the major mistake in this year MLB capping is too much money/picks invested in the team totals and game totals. Spreads and moneyline bets at least we have the chance to win without depending on a certain amount of points being scored or not scored. But from time to time, it is easy for me to predict when a team will score or not specially with the top 5 offenses or currently hot batting teams.
Now on to some analysis and predictions.
Games we will emphasize on this weekend:
PHI @ SD, 3 Games Series
-GM 1: EFFIN 3.61 vs SD Rookie 0.00
PHI -135 ml
-GM 2: NOLA 2.37 vs Lockett 9.28
PHI -250 ml (my guess, lines not out)
-GM 3: ARRIETA 3.11 vs LUCCHESI 3.70
PHI -140 ml (my guess)
At first just by instincts and what I see from both teams. SD has a lot of momentum mojo right now. They took 2 of 4 from Cubs and 2 of 3 from the Brewers. That is 4 of 7 from playoff contenders which is quite impressive. Also, SD batting has scored 4+ in each of their last 7 games, so yes, their bats are HOT. Because of their momentum and wild gut prediction, my first guess was that SD could potentially sweep the Phillies before looking at all the pitching matchups. But I guess the only concern with that is NOLA is playing in this series, so perhaps they will win 2 of 3 instead but who knows… Baseball is not always about pitching matchups. Sometimes, when the bats are working and are hot, it doesn’t matter what is thrown. Onto PHI. PHI is one team that no one really predicted to developed so quickly after a terrible year last year. But now, they are sitting in a playoff seat pending ATL and WAS who are right behind their alley. PHI is a pretty solid team, but like all teams, some time, your bats aren’t there. They got blanked last time out against Arizona. They scored 2pts, 5pts, and 0pts averaging about 2.3 per game. One thing about this team, that people need to know is that they have one of the worst defense of baseball. If that holds true vs a hot batting team like SD. SD will be looking good.
Conclusion: SD take the series 2-1. Again these are just wild predictions based on momentum, stats, and some guessing.
WAS @ CHC, 3 Games Series
-GM1: Hellickson vs Hendricks
CHC ml -145
-GM2: Roark vs Lester
CHC ml -160 (my guess, lines not out)
-GM3: Scherzer vs Hamels
WAS ml -200 (my guess, lines not out)
WAS currently in 3rd place in their division, they have lots of ground to cover if they want to make a push for playoffs or wildcard. To do that, it starts with winning. They haven’t had any sweeps yet, so one here would do wonder and position them very well. They need sweeps with about 40 games left to go. They have talent, just need to execute it. Bryce Harpers has been lights out since All-stars, so it’s a big plus to have him back in the lineup. Cubs have played against mediocre competition so far. 7 games vs KC and SD whom are under 50 wins, so that’s not saying a lot. The Cubs didn’t sweep any of the series so that’s disappointing. The Cubs, one thing we learn is very inconsistent. One day they on, one day they off. They haven’t had a class 7 game win streak like Yankees, Astros, Redsox or even Athletics. They just came off a brutal beating by KC 9-0 romper lol. My gut tells me Washington takes this series with at least 2-1 win. Very good chance they sweep if Lester has another snooze fest again.
Conclusion: Washington takes 3-0 / 2-1 series win. Inching their way back into playoff talks.
SEA vs HOU, 4 Game Series
-I won’t break down this game like the previous two because Seattle has won 1 game already. But before the series started, I had a feeling that Seattle will make some ground by taking at least 2 games from HOU. HOU is in a big hole with injuries. They got lucky and took 2 Wins from a pathetic SF bullpen. SEA look really weak with their pitching, but they do have the offense to keep them in the game and a closer to seal the deal.
-Since I won’t make predictions here, I will definitely be on the radar to bet on Seattle again before the weekend is over.
BOS vs BAL, 4 Game Series
-Look, Baltimore is really bad, perhaps the worst pitching staff in MLB. They have some hitters but they are inconsistent and never dependable. Boston, best team in MLB, simply said, with that said, I do hope they DONT break that 116 game win season, because that’s never a good sign, for example, Golden State Warriors setting the regular season wins then losing championship. Patriots 17-0 Season then losing to Giants in Super Bowl.
-Anyways, Boston will take AT LEAST 3 games of 4 here. They will probably be around -200 moneyline price range for the whole game, so including them in parlays will probably be the best bet unless you like paying high juice favorites. I will look for some situations to back them at the -1.5 RL spreads this weekend.
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