Here we are, another week of Blog presented to you by yours truly, Kapperking. Last week I gave you two totals to hit, and they both went over as predicted. Our write-ups for our clients have been solid thus far going 2-1 in NFL and 1-2 in College, but both profited based on our unit wager. This week I will give you one play that is based on pretty much what the title states “Value & Perception Lines.”
MLB/Football Recap:
Blog #1: 12-2
Blog #2: 5-1
Blog#3: 9-3
Blog#4: 6-8
Blog#5: 2-1
Blog#6: 2-0
YTD: 36-15
NFL Power Rankings:
1. Minnesota Vikings (Offense, Defense)
2. Los Angeles Rams (Offense , Defense)
3. Jacksonville Jaguars (Okay Offense, Defense)
4. Green Bay Packers (Offense, Okay Defense)
5. New England Patriots (Okay Offense & Defense, will get better when all the pieces are put together).
Top NFL Fade Teams:
-Buffalo Bills
-Arizona Cardinals
Top 4 College Football Teams
1. Alabama
2. Georgia
3. Ohio St.
4. Clemson
Top 4 MLB Teams
1. Boston (They have the it factor, but lots of it will depend on their offense.)
2. Houston (Best starting pitching line-ups, top 3 bullpen as well. But offense is very bi-polar)
3.Oakland A’s (They have hitters who can hit, sure they might not hit home runs as often as the Yankees. But they get base hits and know how to get on the bases. Deadly hitters with a very very strong bullpen. They have the Cinderella Mojo. If they win the wild card, this team has a good chance to upset Boston).
4. NY Yankees (Hitting is starting to come back for this team, they are also getting healthier. Bullpen still a work in progress. Solid starting pitching. If they hit lights out, they will beat almost any one).
Stanford -1 @ Oregon, both 3-0. Stanford first true road test. Of the two teams, Stanford has been more battle tested. Oregon so far is 3-0 but has played 3 bottom tier teams with countries top worst defenses. Stanford put 30 on a tough SD State defense and grind out a battle with USC team that is loaded with talent and speed. Stanford has a very good and smart experience QB that I really like. I have watch him last year down the stretch and he has shown a lot of skills and play making ability. When you have a QB doing this job, it will make the job on the RB a lot easier. It makes that much more impact when your RB is a stud like Bryce Love. They have a 1-2-3 Combo with QB-RB-WR + a smart coach. Stanford defense has also played well, so we must kudos them as well. The line is low most likely because Stanford is on the road and that Oregon record is also 3-0. The perception is to make it look like an even match. But seriously, I see Stanford as a top 10-15 team because they have it all to be really good. With that said, thanks to Oregon 3-0 record it gives us a value line. No upset here. It’s a tough place to play in Eugene, OR especially at night. But I have confidence that the better team (Stanford-with the more complete team) will come out victorious. This is a quality team. Take them with confidence. 1.5 units.
MLB Special
Sunday Night ESPN
Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Indians
Play the over 8.5/9
Bullpens are nothing special. Starting pitchers aren’t anything amazing. Both teams are playoff clinched. Why not shootout!?
***Keep in mind, I do not know what the starting line-up is for this game, it can switch as well. There is no spread or total out for this Sunday game as today is Friday. All I can say is that instinct tells me a Sunday night shootout would be great for baseball as this is one of the last 2 games for Sunday night MLB. But people will probably be watching Sunday Night Football instead haha…
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