2018 NCAAF Bowl Season

10:30 AM PST

Location: Orlando, FL

0.50 units

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LA Lafayette +3.5

0.50 units

ULL did play Alabama and Miss St, which does wonder for a team. It makes you tougher and battle tested. ULL QB is a little more accurate than Tulane QB, but threw more INTs than I would like. BUT he did make twice as many attempt passing than Tulane QB.

Key Factors:

-ULL converts on 3rd downs 48% vs TU 35%

-Tulane fired his OC, a sign that things aren’t going well offensively

Truth:

-ULL 8-2 ATS last 10

-ULL 5-1 ATS last 6 as a dog

-TU 0-4 ATS as a favorite vs FBS

With both teams being away from the game for such a long time, and both team loving to run the ball and not much of a big passing threat, I like both teams coming into this game with slow steady amount of runs, lots of time killing possessions and punts.

12:30 PM PST

Location: Las Vegas

0.5 units

Fresno State defense is very good, not much recognition they are getting. THey are excellent at stopping the run, so Arizona State star RB will be keyed on here since their #1 WR is out. Another thing is, that #1 WR is a safety net for the QB especially on 3rd downs, so without him, Ar St will have a harder time converting and extending plays.

Fresno State QB solid passer, can move on his feet, they also have a key WR to go to when needed.

Arizona State plays a 3-3-5 defense that can catch opponents off guard if they never seen it before, but Fresno State seen this before because this DC of Ar St came from SD St whose in the same conference as Fresno. Blitzing a team that knows your doing that will give them chances of big plays.

I like Fresno State to take control in the 1st Half because they have a better defense and better offense to get things rolling. They have all the tools to succeed early on. I see Arizona State having to adjust as the game goes on and figure things out and how to move the ball as problems arises.