March Madness Metrics-2020

Metrics when making a decision on games:

Maturity. Such as does the team have a bunch of freshmen or does the team have a bunch of upperclassmen like Juniors and Seniors. This is a critical aspect because it shows the level of IQ they carry. It also helps because when things don’t go right, they remain calm, collected and adjust and execute. Also when it comes down to clutch situation, you want IQ.
Coaching. Does the coach have tournament experience? Is the coach known for blowing games? Is the coach a excellent halftime adjustment maker if the team sucked in the 1H? Coaching can get the most out of its players. They need a leader who can direct them at the down times.
Players with tournament experience. Similar to #1 but with tournament experience they know what to expect second time around and they can help give knowledge to their teammates.
Playmaker aka Star Power. Every team needs a guy who can turn the game around and a guy who makes an impact in the game and can carry the team if need be. For example: Mich St has Winston Cassius, Dayton: Obi Toppin, SD State: Flynn and Mitchell, or Kansas: Devon Dotson. Notice most of these players that I mentioned are GUARDS or at MOST a SMALL FORWARD type guy. Big man don’t carry in college, Big man can impact but can’t CARRY.
FREE THROW AND GETTING/CREATING FREE THROW OPPORTUNITIES. Being excellent in shooting free throw is one thing, but it ain’t much if you can’t get to the line. So they go hand in hand.
3 POINT BALL. In College 3pt making is important, it can set the tone of the game. Also it’s important to be able to make 3s when your down and need to catch up. But you also live and die by the 3 ball.
Defense/Turnover.
Rebounding, rebounding well defensively helps prevent the other team from getting more attempts. If you rebound well offensively like Auburn for example, it gives your team more chances to put the ball in the basket.
MOMENTUM, teams that are playing HOT down the stretch of the season and make it into the tournament, these are teams to BEWARE. Example: Providence*** Won like last 9 out of 10 games and BEAT 5 Ranked opponents. THAT IS HUGE.
Homefield. There isnt really homefield for anyone unless you happen to get place in a bracket that is near your city. HERES A FREEBIE: Florida St if they are #2 seed and play in Tampa. Gonzaga if they remain #1 seed and play in Spokmane.

EARLY TOURNAMENT PICKS / LEANS
***Will update periodically.
Last updated today 3/8/20.

gonzaga Gonzaga -20 or less (Coach with experience, players with experience, offensively really good, pretty solid defense, home field)
Florida State -16 or less (Coach with experience, some players with experience, 12 man roster with depth, long and lengthy players which gives defensive advantage, also home crowd advantage)
These big spread teams are pretty much the only time I will lay huge double digit lines in the first round, theres value here against inferior opponents.