It’s been a while since pre-pandemic since I’ve last worked on this website. However, I finally am starting to share my thoughts, knowledge and most importantly, winners with everyone again.
NFL 2023 – Week 4
Three weeks of NFL football has gone by. What have you learn? Are you sure? Do you see what I see? Do you have that feeling that data and metrics cannot measure?
Most years, I’ve been able to identify champions before the season barely even began. Examples: Tom Brady first year with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Golden State Warriors when they signed Kevin Durant, Houston Astros last year, these are a few from the list. How I gauge it is by identifying “motivation”, free agency, and the structure of the team.
This year I’ve identify that the team that will win the Super Bowl is the San Francisco 49ers. They are currently about 600+ odds to win, so if you place $1000 it will pay you $6000. Please do keep in mind, injuries and shit does happen, so placing an investment this early is little risky, but the odds will definitely go down as the season progress.
WHY them?! SF 49ers has always been a forced to be reckoned with the last 5 years since the hiring of Kyle Shannahan and GM John Lynch. Strong running game, strong defense, and great draft selections year after years until Trey Lance which I was highly against. Last year they struck gold with Brock Purdy, the last pick of the draft. Who would have known right? I’ve always said, never draft a QB based on their athletic abilities, speed, or strength. You GOT to draft a QB that has a BRAIN… IQ. Someone who can read the field, make smart decision, and have a strong work ethic. Purdy is that guy. Decent enough arm strength, accurate passer, good at reading the field, doesn’t make much mistakes, and can extend plays with his mobile ability. Everything Jimmy G wasn’t lol. If they stay healthy, they will win the championship because they have the best roster from top to bottom.
Best offense. Elite running game. Elite play-caller by the coach. Smart QB who can extend plays. Purdy, CMC, Kittle, Deebo, Ayiuk. THAT is so unfair.
Best defense. They replaced their defensive coordinator with another excellent one LOL. So their defense hasn’t missed a beat. If anything, the new DC improves their secondary. You got the best D-line in the league, to go with arguably the best Linebacker core, and a solid top 5 Secondary.
Niners should have won a championship by now if not for unlucky timing of injuries. THIS IS THEIR YEAR. TRUST.
Look at the league and tell me another team that can compete with them? Eagle? Nope, their defense got worse in terms of linebacker and secondary. Cowboys? Nope, never going to win shit with Dak and McCarthy. I mean the guy had Aaron Rodgers and only won one lmao… Dolphins? Sure they can make it interesting, but what’s the recipe to beat a fast elite efficient offense? A good sound defense and a good run game (niners have).
Look I can go on and on, but I have a baby to feed and sleep to catch on for work lol. But I’m happy to be back to share with you my load of knowledge and vision.
Week 4 Picks
Dolphins +3/ml +130 vs the Bills, they fall in a system where when a team scores 30+ pts and keep their opponent to 10 or less points in back to back games, they tend to lose SU. Fade the bills this week. Dolphins are the real deal by the way, they will win the AFC. Bills defense looked good against terrible offense and offensive lines. Speed will wreck havoc on them this week.
Broncos ml, Bears are the worse team in the NFL. You got the dumbest QB in Fields, sorry ass play calling, a defense that can’t stop nobody. This is the battle of two winless teams. Give me the one with the better Head Coach and QB that just got whooped by 70pts.
Rams +1 versus the Colts. Colts huge victory against the Ravens last week. Let down spot here. Colts will face a veteran Ram squad that can move the ball and play some defense. I do not see the Colts go 3-1 here. I see the Rams picking up an much needed and should win game here to go 2-2.
Steelers ml, I love the way they play defense, it’s nasty. Great opportunity to go 3-1 here before falling back down to earth later lol. Steelers fans, don’t get ahead of yourself. Your offense sucks. Not until you get a real offensive coordinator you aint winning playoffs. Texan rookie QB been looking solid, decent numbers and actually looked good after 3 weeks and playing with a non-existence O-line. However, this week, that will catch up to them going against this Steeler defense not to mention let down spot.
If I wanted to add on to a parlay card, I would pick Vikings ml, however their defense suck, their on the road, and Panthers defense is actually pretty decent, so a 0-4 loss to the Panthers is possible, but I’d like to think not because of better QB and offense play. Cowboys -7, that defense should be able to rebound and get to Mac Jones easily. Patriots offense is terrible and hasn’t been the same without Brady the Goat.
Enjoy the picks. I feel very confident in the first 4 winners I provided to you all. I am personally going big on ALL 4 and will create a 4 team parlay and 6 team parlay.
GOOD LUCK!!!
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