Week 4 picks and leans went 4-2. Lessons learned from the losses. Dolphins defense could not hold down the Bills. I partly knew this because their best pass rusher Philips and other stud CB Ramsey is out on the injury list. Their offense got shut down and the Bills pass rush was able to get to Tua. I thought this Dolphins offense was just going to lay the wood on everyone, but they didn’t. They ARE still a top 3 team in the AFC. Bills showed the world that they are forreals after 3 ass whooping wins. Bills, Dolphins, and Chiefs are the top 3 for the AFC.
Steelers offense as predicted was no where to be found, the defense could not catch a breather and it went down hill from there. The offense need to get better coaches and add another playmaker possibly. This offense generate like 250-300 yards a game which is very low. It’s possible to win with a good defense but you got to score and move the ball to at least field goal range.
Week 5 Picks
Bills looked good against 3 teams, winning all 3. Quality win against the Dolphins. They are playing in London this week so they will need to travel. I like the Jaguars +5.5 here as this team plays really well as an underdog and covers most the time as dogs.
Niners -3/ml -180, I’m willing to pay any price under -200 as this team will just keep winning. They have a shot at going undefeated as I mentioned in the last article but I don’t expect them to as health is important than a perfect record. Dak will struggle once again under the lights and the niners run game and offensive schemes will give them fits.
Panthers +10, I think this is too much points to give to a Lions team that is good but not elite at Defense. Again, Panthers defense can be stingy. They haven’t won a spread so this is a good spot.
It’s been a while since pre-pandemic since I’ve last worked on this website. However, I finally am starting to share my thoughts, knowledge and most importantly, winners with everyone again.
Three weeks of NFL football has gone by. What have you learn? Are you sure? Do you see what I see? Do you have that feeling that data and metrics cannot measure?
Most years, I’ve been able to identify champions before the season barely even began. Examples: Tom Brady first year with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Golden State Warriors when they signed Kevin Durant, Houston Astros last year, these are a few from the list. How I gauge it is by identifying “motivation”, free agency, and the structure of the team.
This year I’ve identify that the team that will win the Super Bowl is the San Francisco 49ers. They are currently about 600+ odds to win, so if you place $1000 it will pay you $6000. Please do keep in mind, injuries and shit does happen, so placing an investment this early is little risky, but the odds will definitely go down as the season progress.
WHY them?! SF 49ers has always been a forced to be reckoned with the last 5 years since the hiring of Kyle Shannahan and GM John Lynch. Strong running game, strong defense, and great draft selections year after years until Trey Lance which I was highly against. Last year they struck gold with Brock Purdy, the last pick of the draft. Who would have known right? I’ve always said, never draft a QB based on their athletic abilities, speed, or strength. You GOT to draft a QB that has a BRAIN… IQ. Someone who can read the field, make smart decision, and have a strong work ethic. Purdy is that guy. Decent enough arm strength, accurate passer, good at reading the field, doesn’t make much mistakes, and can extend plays with his mobile ability. Everything Jimmy G wasn’t lol. If they stay healthy, they will win the championship because they have the best roster from top to bottom.
Best offense. Elite running game. Elite play-caller by the coach. Smart QB who can extend plays. Purdy, CMC, Kittle, Deebo, Ayiuk. THAT is so unfair.
Best defense. They replaced their defensive coordinator with another excellent one LOL. So their defense hasn’t missed a beat. If anything, the new DC improves their secondary. You got the best D-line in the league, to go with arguably the best Linebacker core, and a solid top 5 Secondary.
Niners should have won a championship by now if not for unlucky timing of injuries. THIS IS THEIR YEAR. TRUST.
Look at the league and tell me another team that can compete with them? Eagle? Nope, their defense got worse in terms of linebacker and secondary. Cowboys? Nope, never going to win shit with Dak and McCarthy. I mean the guy had Aaron Rodgers and only won one lmao… Dolphins? Sure they can make it interesting, but what’s the recipe to beat a fast elite efficient offense? A good sound defense and a good run game (niners have).
Look I can go on and on, but I have a baby to feed and sleep to catch on for work lol. But I’m happy to be back to share with you my load of knowledge and vision.
Week 4 Picks
Dolphins +3/ml +130 vs the Bills, they fall in a system where when a team scores 30+ pts and keep their opponent to 10 or less points in back to back games, they tend to lose SU. Fade the bills this week. Dolphins are the real deal by the way, they will win the AFC. Bills defense looked good against terrible offense and offensive lines. Speed will wreck havoc on them this week.
Broncos ml, Bears are the worse team in the NFL. You got the dumbest QB in Fields, sorry ass play calling, a defense that can’t stop nobody. This is the battle of two winless teams. Give me the one with the better Head Coach and QB that just got whooped by 70pts.
Rams +1 versus the Colts. Colts huge victory against the Ravens last week. Let down spot here. Colts will face a veteran Ram squad that can move the ball and play some defense. I do not see the Colts go 3-1 here. I see the Rams picking up an much needed and should win game here to go 2-2.
Steelers ml, I love the way they play defense, it’s nasty. Great opportunity to go 3-1 here before falling back down to earth later lol. Steelers fans, don’t get ahead of yourself. Your offense sucks. Not until you get a real offensive coordinator you aint winning playoffs. Texan rookie QB been looking solid, decent numbers and actually looked good after 3 weeks and playing with a non-existence O-line. However, this week, that will catch up to them going against this Steeler defense not to mention let down spot.
If I wanted to add on to a parlay card, I would pick Vikings ml, however their defense suck, their on the road, and Panthers defense is actually pretty decent, so a 0-4 loss to the Panthers is possible, but I’d like to think not because of better QB and offense play. Cowboys -7, that defense should be able to rebound and get to Mac Jones easily. Patriots offense is terrible and hasn’t been the same without Brady the Goat.
Enjoy the picks. I feel very confident in the first 4 winners I provided to you all. I am personally going big on ALL 4 and will create a 4 team parlay and 6 team parlay.
Maturity. Such as does the team have a bunch of freshmen or does the team have a bunch of upperclassmen like Juniors and Seniors. This is a critical aspect because it shows the level of IQ they carry. It also helps because when things don’t go right, they remain calm, collected and adjust and execute. Also when it comes down to clutch situation, you want IQ.
Coaching. Does the coach have tournament experience? Is the coach known for blowing games? Is the coach a excellent halftime adjustment maker if the team sucked in the 1H? Coaching can get the most out of its players. They need a leader who can direct them at the down times.
Players with tournament experience. Similar to #1 but with tournament experience they know what to expect second time around and they can help give knowledge to their teammates.
Playmaker aka Star Power. Every team needs a guy who can turn the game around and a guy who makes an impact in the game and can carry the team if need be. For example: Mich St has Winston Cassius, Dayton: Obi Toppin, SD State: Flynn and Mitchell, or Kansas: Devon Dotson. Notice most of these players that I mentioned are GUARDS or at MOST a SMALL FORWARD type guy. Big man don’t carry in college, Big man can impact but can’t CARRY.
FREE THROW AND GETTING/CREATING FREE THROW OPPORTUNITIES. Being excellent in shooting free throw is one thing, but it ain’t much if you can’t get to the line. So they go hand in hand.
3 POINT BALL. In College 3pt making is important, it can set the tone of the game. Also it’s important to be able to make 3s when your down and need to catch up. But you also live and die by the 3 ball.
Defense/Turnover.
Rebounding, rebounding well defensively helps prevent the other team from getting more attempts. If you rebound well offensively like Auburn for example, it gives your team more chances to put the ball in the basket.
MOMENTUM, teams that are playing HOT down the stretch of the season and make it into the tournament, these are teams to BEWARE. Example: Providence*** Won like last 9 out of 10 games and BEAT 5 Ranked opponents. THAT IS HUGE.
Homefield. There isnt really homefield for anyone unless you happen to get place in a bracket that is near your city. HERES A FREEBIE: Florida St if they are #2 seed and play in Tampa. Gonzaga if they remain #1 seed and play in Spokmane.
EARLY TOURNAMENT PICKS / LEANS
***Will update periodically.
Last updated today 3/8/20.
Gonzaga -20 or less (Coach with experience, players with experience, offensively really good, pretty solid defense, home field) Florida State -16 or less (Coach with experience, some players with experience, 12 man roster with depth, long and lengthy players which gives defensive advantage, also home crowd advantage) These big spread teams are pretty much the only time I will lay huge double digit lines in the first round, theres value here against inferior opponents.
Virginia game, Under first half, Under Whole Game. Under 2H *** pends on the 1H.
Last year winner: 59 points, which means I need to average about 3.5 each week for 17 weeks to win that million dollars!!!
Week 3 is finally in the books. Wow, this is going to be a interesting season. So what have we learned after 3 weeks of NFL? 7 undefeated teams remain and 7 teams are 0-3 without a win.
The San Francisco 49ers are for reals. That defense is solid as a mother. Before the season started I predicted that the SF will be one of the best upcoming team this season with the addition of defensive players, excellent coaching, and the return of Jimmy.
Buffalo has a top 10 defense, they sit 3-0 and face the Brady bunch next week. They are an upcoming team as well but they have lots to learn before they can compete with the big boys. New England is -7.5 against the Bills, tease that all day. Brady goes 4-0.
The Rams front line on defense is nasty, my goodness. That is a tough defense to face. If the offense can click and be dominate like last year, they will be a force. Packers on the other hand, this is probably the best defense Rodgers ever had on his team. He doesn’t need to play from behind, or even sling it that much. They also have some sort of running game as well. I think one of these two teams will represent the NFC in the superbowl.
Chiefs and Patriots will represent the AFC in the superbowl. Andy Reid is notorious with choking in big games though…
Update on GREAT TEAMS:
Patriots
Chiefs
Rams
Packers
On the fence borderline GREAT:
Cowboys (Need a win against a top 15 team)
Niners (Big win against the Steelers defense definitely puts them in the conversation)
Trash teams LOL…
Miami
Bengals
Jets
Broncos
FREE Plays of the week:
Record: 2-1
This week I’ll give you two plays.
7 point teaser Los Angeles Rams & Kansas Chiefs
Maryland +7 / +205 moneyline
-Friday night upset city. Penn State still have a solid defense, offense not so much. Maryland overlooked the game versus Temple and it took 2 1st and goal at the 2 yard line to fail for them to lose. Still an explosive team and they have home field. Penn State vs road game as well.
Last year winner: 59 points, which means I need to average about 3.5 each week for 17 weeks to win that million dollars!!!
Update on the GREAT TEAMS:
Patriots, excellent defense top 3 so far. With the addition of Brown to the offense my goodness. I can definitely see Patriots going undefeated this year. Whenever they are -7 or less, great add to the teasers.
Packers, defense has been clutch for them, running game has been effective, Rodgers doing enough to win games. Packers have beaten two solid defenses back to back weeks, would love to see how they handle a hot offense like Rams or Chiefs.
Chiefs, this offense can score on ANYBODY. The only thing this team needs to focus on his defense which has been very improved so far.
Rams, great offense as always. Defense is solid. I put them as 4th because we didn’t get a chance to see them play the Saints with a healthy QB.
ALMOST GREAT TEAM:
Cowboys, they beat 2 sorry teams. I know they are really good, but would like to see them beat a top 15 team to move them up to Great.
TRASH CAN TEAMS LOL…
Miami… blown out TWICE lol… they allowed a combined 102 points on defense. Could they go undefeated in the loss column?!?!
Giants, until they get rid of that slender bender Manning QB, their future will be going no where soon.
Week 3 Free Plays of the week:
1-0 so far.
Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs Total 54
This should be NFL game of the week. We got two electric young QB studs going at it this week. Lamar Jackson is going to put up crazy fantasy number this year, I ain’t going to lie, I’m butthurt I didn’t draft him but Brady super late round haha. Anyways, we knew Jackson could run, but he could always throw, they just didn’t develop too many plays for him last year. This year, they have it all on offense. Plus the fact that they added him a few more weapons on offense only improved this ball club. Chiefs we already know wassup with this team, they’ll score on anyone. Baltimore defense lost many pieces this year so they ain’t all that. They focusing on offense instead. Chiefs defense improved this year, but this Jackson offense will do some damage. I don’t like betting on totals, but this is one to bet on if you like totals. 34-28 type of score with someone winning.
Texas AM -3
Auburn first road game. Maybe TAM first half or full game would be good. Both teams undefeated in 3-0 ATS. But remember what I said about Auburn coach, he is a nuthead, his offense stinks, chokes during big games. Auburn had a quality win vs Oregon but was that luck? They got dominated the whole game but Oregon took the foot off the petal. Now Auburn is off on a road trip to face TAM. Texas AM only quality match up was against Clemson. They stuck around, couldn’t beat them but did not get blown the F up. This is a primetime game, going with the home team to give Auburn it’s first loss.
“If your life depended on it, bet the better team of the two.”
-KK1
Raise your hand if you fell in love with the Browns hype. Man they got manhandled. Yes they look bad, but they still have a very decent team and they will get back to winning. When you doubt them, that’s when its time to bet them.
Lot’s of rookies with breakout day 1 stats. Why? Because no one really game plan for that. Don’t expect an encore performance week 2.
Now that week 1 is over, I leave you with this powerful tool. Know which team is an overreaction and which teams are frauds…
Remember that quote I gave you guys, “Good teams win, Great teams cover.”
Well here is my list of GREAT teams:
Patriots (Goat QB + Coach, ton of offensive weapons, very solid defense) Chiefs (One of the best offense in the league, ELECTRIC QB, he is the real deal, defense IMPROVED) Ravens (Defense kind of decline in my opinion, lost CJ Mosley, Terrell Suggs, Z’daire Smith, BUTTTTT OFFENSE VASTLY IMPROVED, BREAKOUT year for Lamar Jackson)
Borderline great, need another week or 2 to confirm:
Cowboys (Solid on both side of the field, I dislike the redhair coach, but need to see if they can beat a real team, Giants is a top 5 bottom team)
Rams (Still one of the best offense, still many great pieces on defense, but they did not show their dominance in week 1, need to see more next couple weeks)
Packers (Offense did not do much, but maybe because Chicago defense is still top notch. BUT that Packer defense vastly improved adding like 4-5 star worthy pieces)
Week 2 Free Play of the week:
Packers ml, -2 should be good too. Rodgers will have a easier time working his offense this week. Back in their own home field. Cousins, is a weak QB, never won a big game in his career. They beat a weak Atlanta Falcons team, if they beat packers then I’ll take them more serious. I see Packers going 2-0, don’t be fool, Packers taking this division this year. LOOK UP THAT DEFENSE…
COLLEGE TALK
At the moment nothing pops out. Some games are interesting, but lines are inflated in my opinion. So week 3 could be a good week to step away my fellow friends.
How’s it going everyone? I hope you all are having a fantastic summer. Let’s get right to it for some football talk.
Some pre-season things to note before you start betting in the regular season:
NFL
1. Coaching, see which team got new coaches, offensive coordinators, and defensive coordinators. All this matter because they will dictate how the team perform. So just because Team A (that has a fancy big brand name) with crappy coordinators, may not perform like years in the past, and vice-versa.
2. Free-agent signings & trades. It’s good to note how a team has decrease or increase it’s value by the pieces it added in the off season. For example, 49ers added Nick Bosa, Dee Ford, Jason Vernett, and Kwon Alexander. 49ers were like bottom 5 in defense last year, and they added pieces all OVER the field. That’s a huge bump up, so don’t expect them to suck this year. An example for a team like Patriots, will be without Gordon, Edelman, and Gronk, so they decrease a bit in offense, but they ARE still the Patriots and they find a way but it may not be as productive.
3. Intangibles. So what is this? Well things that aren’t physically measurable. Take Hype, for example, the Cleveland Browns is like LOADED with hype. They had a great end to their season last year, added some big names, and got some big hype going for them, but with hype comes inflation, so their spreads won’t be as attractive this year. The opposite of hype is overlooked underrated teams. Some example of this is the Raiders who looked extremely terrible last year (they are on hard knocks HBO) and Tampa Bay Bucs who got shredded on defense. These teams should be improved by better coaching and talent.
CFB
For College Football, remember we are betting on a bunch of kids to win us money. So in order to succeed in this field, we need to invest on vastly superior coaching and talent of the kids.
Coaches to beware:
Auburn (Notorious for stinking)
Ohio State (No more Urban Meyers, will it be the same?)
Schools with high upside:
Kansas was stinking the last decade or so in college football, but they won a few games last year and just recruited Les Miles as their head coach. Big things to come perhaps. Watching a few games of Kansas last year, they got some talent in that team, just need someone to put it all together and make the kids better.
As you all know, I will be joining the Westgate super contest this year. I have been wanting to join this for a long time now and finally have the opportunity to. If you want to learn more about it, search up westgate super contest or go to their website. I also have details on my IG post. It’s a $1500 buyin which is a good chunk, but if you’re a good capper and able to make the top 100, you’ll get cash out. Would love to make it into the top 10. Thanks to everyone that has bought some equity. This will be a fun ride and I hope to flip that investment for you.
I leave you all with this great quote to live by for the season.
This year, I’ve decided to post my bowl season mania here for everyone to checkout. Fade, follow, it doesn’t matter. Hope you enjoy the analysis from yours truly. Good luck and lets have a fantastic and fun bowl season.
Everyone who subscribed for the Bowl Season package has been refunded, so enjoy this free session!
***Check website daily and hourly for updated post of games here. Will also put announcements on IG***
DATE & TIME OF GAME
Saturday 12/15
10:30 AM PST
Location: Orlando, FL
TEAMS PLAYING
Tulane vs LA Lafayette
PICK
1st Half under 31
0.50 units
+
LA Lafayette +3.5
0.50 units
GAME ANALYSIS (Optional)
Both team likes to run the ball. Tulane has a little better defense overall. They give up less run yards than ULL and they also give up 6 points less. Conference wise, we have to give it to AAC (Tulane) because they have better talent and teams in that conference thus making each other better. Tulane beat Navy to get into the Bowl so this is important for them. ULL went to the Sun Belt championship but came out with a Loss. So we don’t know what to expect from this team since motivation could be flat here for them.
ULL did play Alabama and Miss St, which does wonder for a team. It makes you tougher and battle tested. ULL QB is a little more accurate than Tulane QB, but threw more INTs than I would like. BUT he did make twice as many attempt passing than Tulane QB.
Key Factors:
-ULL converts on 3rd downs 48% vs TU 35%
-Tulane fired his OC, a sign that things aren’t going well offensively
Truth:
-ULL 8-2 ATS last 10
-ULL 5-1 ATS last 6 as a dog
-TU 0-4 ATS as a favorite vs FBS
With both teams being away from the game for such a long time, and both team loving to run the ball and not much of a big passing threat, I like both teams coming into this game with slow steady amount of runs, lots of time killing possessions and punts.
DATE & TIME OF GAME
Saturday 12/15
12:30 PM PST
Location: Las Vegas
TEAMS PLAYING
Arizona St vs Fresno St
PICK
1st half Fresno State -3
0.5 units
GAME ANALYSIS (Optional)
Arizona State #1 WR going to the NFL. That’s one less weapon for Arizona St.
Fresno State defense is very good, not much recognition they are getting. THey are excellent at stopping the run, so Arizona State star RB will be keyed on here since their #1 WR is out. Another thing is, that #1 WR is a safety net for the QB especially on 3rd downs, so without him, Ar St will have a harder time converting and extending plays.
Fresno State QB solid passer, can move on his feet, they also have a key WR to go to when needed.
Arizona State plays a 3-3-5 defense that can catch opponents off guard if they never seen it before, but Fresno State seen this before because this DC of Ar St came from SD St whose in the same conference as Fresno. Blitzing a team that knows your doing that will give them chances of big plays.
I like Fresno State to take control in the 1st Half because they have a better defense and better offense to get things rolling. They have all the tools to succeed early on. I see Arizona State having to adjust as the game goes on and figure things out and how to move the ball as problems arises.
2nd Half:
Tulane vs ULL under 28 (Lose)
Utah State -4.5 (win)
MTenn vs App St under 24 (Lose)
Day 1 of Bowl Mania: 1-5, -2 units
12/18 Tuesday
UAB moneyline posted on IG Story 12/18 (Win)
Day 2 of Bowl Mania: 1-0, +1 Unit
12/19 Wednesday
SDSU vs Ohio under 49 (Win)
2H Ohio ml (Win)
***Both plays posted on IG Story 12/19
Day 3 of Bowl Mania: 2-0, +1.5 units Bowl Season: 4-5, +0.5 units
***4-0 Bowl run***
12/20 Thursday
No Plays
12/21 Friday
Western Mich vs BYU under 52 (Lose)
Day 5 of Bowl Mania: 0-1, -0.5 units Bowl Season: 4-6, 0 units
12/22 Saturday
9 AM Wake Forest +3.5 (Win)
9 AM 2H Wake Forest pk (Win)
12:30 PM Army vs Houston over 60 (Win)
12:30 PM Army -6 (Win)
12:30 PM 2H Army vs Houston ov 24.5 (Win)
4:00 PM Troy +2.5 (Win)
Day 6 of Bowl Mania: 6-0, +4.5 units Bowl Season: 10-6, +4.5 units
12/26 Wednesday
2:15 PM Georgia Tech -5 (Lose)
2:15 PM Gtech TT over 31.5 (Lose)
2:15 PM Gtech vs Minn over 57 (Lean)
Day 7 of Bowl Mania: 0-2, -3 units Bowl Season: 10-8, +1.5 units
12/27 Thursday
10:30 AM Duke +3.5 (WIN)
2:15 PM Miami Hurricanes ml (Lose)
6:00 PM Vanderbilt -4 (Lose)
Day 8 of Bowl Mania: 1-2, -1.25 unit Bowl Season: 11-10, +1.25 units
Here we are, another week of Blog presented to you by yours truly, Kapperking. Last week I gave you two totals to hit, and they both went over as predicted. Our write-ups for our clients have been solid thus far going 2-1 in NFL and 1-2 in College, but both profited based on our unit wager. This week I will give you one play that is based on pretty much what the title states “Value & Perception Lines.”
MLB/Football Recap:
Blog #1: 12-2
Blog #2: 5-1 Blog#3: 9-3 Blog#4: 6-8 Blog#5: 2-1 Blog#6: 2-0
YTD: 36-15
NFL Power Rankings:
1. Minnesota Vikings (Offense, Defense)
2. Los Angeles Rams (Offense , Defense)
3. Jacksonville Jaguars (Okay Offense, Defense)
4. Green Bay Packers (Offense, Okay Defense)
5. New England Patriots (Okay Offense & Defense, will get better when all the pieces are put together).
Top NFL Fade Teams:
-Buffalo Bills
-Arizona Cardinals
Top 4 College Football Teams
1. Alabama
2. Georgia
3. Ohio St.
4. Clemson
Top 4 MLB Teams
1. Boston (They have the it factor, but lots of it will depend on their offense.)
2. Houston (Best starting pitching line-ups, top 3 bullpen as well. But offense is very bi-polar)
3.Oakland A’s (They have hitters who can hit, sure they might not hit home runs as often as the Yankees. But they get base hits and know how to get on the bases. Deadly hitters with a very very strong bullpen. They have the Cinderella Mojo. If they win the wild card, this team has a good chance to upset Boston).
4. NY Yankees (Hitting is starting to come back for this team, they are also getting healthier. Bullpen still a work in progress. Solid starting pitching. If they hit lights out, they will beat almost any one).
Stanford -1 @ Oregon, both 3-0. Stanford first true road test. Of the two teams, Stanford has been more battle tested. Oregon so far is 3-0 but has played 3 bottom tier teams with countries top worst defenses. Stanford put 30 on a tough SD State defense and grind out a battle with USC team that is loaded with talent and speed. Stanford has a very good and smart experience QB that I really like. I have watch him last year down the stretch and he has shown a lot of skills and play making ability. When you have a QB doing this job, it will make the job on the RB a lot easier. It makes that much more impact when your RB is a stud like Bryce Love. They have a 1-2-3 Combo with QB-RB-WR + a smart coach. Stanford defense has also played well, so we must kudos them as well. The line is low most likely because Stanford is on the road and that Oregon record is also 3-0. The perception is to make it look like an even match. But seriously, I see Stanford as a top 10-15 team because they have it all to be really good. With that said, thanks to Oregon 3-0 record it gives us a value line. No upset here. It’s a tough place to play in Eugene, OR especially at night. But I have confidence that the better team (Stanford-with the more complete team) will come out victorious. This is a quality team. Take them with confidence. 1.5 units.
MLB Special
Sunday Night ESPN
Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Indians
Play the over 8.5/9
Bullpens are nothing special. Starting pitchers aren’t anything amazing. Both teams are playoff clinched. Why not shootout!?
***Keep in mind, I do not know what the starting line-up is for this game, it can switch as well. There is no spread or total out for this Sunday game as today is Friday. All I can say is that instinct tells me a Sunday night shootout would be great for baseball as this is one of the last 2 games for Sunday night MLB. But people will probably be watching Sunday Night Football instead haha…
Welcome back to another edition of Kapper Nation blogs. Last week I told you we would have a easy 3-1 win and we did but we cancel the last LAD/COL over game due to pitching change but it still went over. So we end up 2-1 for our blog picks and still came up profitable.
MLB/Football Recap:
Blog #1: 12-2
Blog #2: 5-1 Blog#3: 9-3 Blog#4: 6-8 Blog#5: 2-1
YTD: 34-15
Announcements: We are on a great start to September. Currently profiting in MLB (12-5) and NFL (3-0) while we are making a resurgent push back to even in CFB (7-10). Get all of our picks and analysis and 24/7 breakdowns on any plays you want us to analyze for you for $100 for the remainder of September. It’s a bargain people. Prices will go back to $200 per month starting in October.
NFL top 6
1. Minnesota Vikings
2. Philadelphia Eagles
3. Los Angeles Rams
4. New England Patriots
5. Jacksonville Jaguars
6. Green Bay Packers
College Football top 4
1. Alabama
2. Georgia
3. Auburn
4. Clemson
Top 4 MLB
1. Boston (Best offense, bullpen not as reliable but their offense can score in bunches).
2. Houston (Top 2 bullpen, and probably top 2 in starting pitching. Offense is great as well).
3. Oakland (top 2 bullpen, offense has the ability to score in bunches as well. Only question is their starting pitching).
4. Chicago Cubs (Above average pitching/bullpen, excellent defense and probably one the top 3 clutch teams in MLB this season. They have a reliable offense that can get hits and bases at the right time).
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons
Total = 44
Both team just played some hard fought battles for their week 1 matchup. Both games being outdoor. Now they will play in a dome stadium for their week 2 matchup. Notable injuries: Greg Olson TE is out for Panthers, one less weapon for Cam Newton, but they still got McCaffery who I think will put up monster numbers in this game. Why? Because Atlanta just lost 2 HUGE pieces to their defense. Safety Neal and linebacker Jones are gone. That takes away 2 speed defenders as well as starters. That will leave the middle of the filed and some deep zone area vulnerable for some big plays. Falcons boast one of the best offensive arsenal with Freeman, Jones, Coleman, Sanu, Hooper, Ryan. They can score. They will definitely score more than 13 points this week. Last week they had MANY chances to score on PHI but came up short many times. This week will be different. Being indoor and on turf will increase the production of offense in this matchup. This is also a divisional game so both team will play hard and want this important win. Thanks to a lackluster production of points from both team last week, it gives us a good total number at 44. Imagine if they went berserk like TB vs NO, this total would probably be set around the 48 area. 2 injured star defensive pieces on the ATL side will benefit CAR offense while ATL offense is already stack and I see no real threat of CAR secondary. Score prediction: 28-20, 27-21.
Play the OVER 44. (Get 42 or 43 is even better).
Alabama vs Ole Miss
Total = 69
Both team’s strength is the offense. Both team can light up the score board. Defensively the edge goes to Bama of course due to all the talent they have. But they let go of their DC who went on to a new coaching job at Tennessee. Both team scored well but both team played bad opponents so their offense can be considered a bit inflated. Bama has played poor competition thus far with Louisville being the only team to score the most against their defense with 14pts but Louisville sucks. Ole Miss defense is, wait, they don’t have a defense lol. This will be a fun ESPN night game for them and they will be hype. Ole Miss can put up 21 points on Bama, and I see Bama putting up at least 40. Or perhaps this game could be a lot closer than we think? Could we see a flaw in Bama defense this week? This week will prove whether Bama has a defense. Bama will score at will, and Ole Miss will keep attacking on offense. Score Prediction: 49-28 / 49-21.
Gonzaga -20 or less (Coach with experience, players with experience, offensively really good, pretty solid defense, home field)
Florida State -16 or less (Coach with experience, some players with experience, 12 man roster with depth, long and lengthy players which gives defensive advantage, also home crowd advantage)
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